College football, 2026 season
Stats and data viz for all 138 FBS teams and 3,000+ players. Find out who's good, who's lucky and who's paying for it. Then use box scores, advanced stats and anything else we could get our hands on to build charts that support your takes.
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Everything on this site starts with someone else's data, and we credit all of it. The projections, picks, rankings and tiers are our own math on top.
| Source | What we use | How often |
|---|---|---|
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Last updated October 26, 2026.
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Last updated October 30, 2026.
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College Football Charts is a college football stats site: a pick for every FBS game, head to heads across 75+ stats, the playoff picture, and charts you can bend to support any narrative (except Big 12 supremacy).
Every FBS team, player and game gets its own page, with national ranks, the ratings people argue about (SP+, PRIME and Elo) and charts you can share. The rivalry pages carry the series history. The tools let you build your own Top 25, your own 12-team playoff field and your own charts.
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Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.
Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee
Week 9, Wed, Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET, Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium.
The numbers say: Kennesaw State, 52% to win.
| Kickoff | Wed, Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| TV | CBSSN |
| Where | Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium |
| Weather | 70°, clear, wind 2 mph |
| Line | Kennesaw State −1.5, total 49.5 |
| Line movement | Opened Middle Tennessee −2.5; moved 4 points toward Kennesaw State. |
| Series | Tied 1–1 |
| Last meeting | Kennesaw State 24–16 in 2025 |
| Margin | Win chance | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SP+ | Middle Tennessee by 1.1 | 53% | 48 |
| PRIME | Middle Tennessee by 1.0 | 53% | |
| Elo | Kennesaw State | 55% | |
| The line | Kennesaw State −1.5, opened Middle Tennessee −2.5 | 49.5 |
Margins include home field. SP+ is Bill Connelly's rating; Sources has PRIME and Elo. Line and total from DraftKings, as of Wed, Oct 28, 2:21 PM ET.
The numbers say: Middle Tennessee. 50% chance to win
The ratings split and average out to about 50-50, with Middle Tennessee ahead by a hair. Middle Tennessee's best matchup is its passing game, 74th in EPA per pass, against Kennesaw State's pass defense at 113th. Kennesaw State's way back in is its pass protection, 22nd in sacks allowed per dropback, against Middle Tennessee's pass rush at 124th.
Each chart puts all 138 FBS teams on two stats; Kennesaw State and Middle Tennessee are lit. Dashed lines are the FBS averages, and up and right is better. Ranks in parentheses. Games through Oct 24, 2026.
The scatter charts show the top 40 FBS players at the position by both stats combined, plus the players lit here. Dashed lines are the averages; up and right is better. Ranks are among every FBS player at the position with enough snaps. Takeaways are interceptions plus fumble recoveries. Games through Oct 24, 2026.
On a neutral field, SP+ has Kennesaw State 1.4 points better (120th to 125th). PRIME also has Kennesaw State ahead, by 1.5. Elo, which only sees results, also has Kennesaw State ahead (113th to 124th).
| Kennesaw State | Middle Tennessee | |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ overall | -13.8 (120th) | -15.2 (125th) |
| SP+ offense | 17.4 (121st) | 18.1 (117th) |
| SP+ defense | 30.7 (105th) | 33.7 (119th) |
| SP+ special teams | -0.5 (124th) | 0.4 (11th) |
| PRIME net | -12.5 (119th) | -14.0 (124th) |
| PRIME offense | -7.21 (118th) | -6.73 (115th) |
| PRIME defense | -3.58 (101st) | -6.69 (121st) |
| PRIME SOS | -4.3 (87th) | -6.5 (106th) |
| PRIME SOR | -2.8 (129th) | -1.2 (101st) |
| Elo | 1264 (113th) | 1172 (124th) |
Opponent-adjusted power ratings. These drive the projection.
Kennesaw State's offense ranks 100th in adjusted EPA per play, and the Middle Tennessee defense it faces ranks 113th in EPA per play allowed. Middle Tennessee's offense ranks 74th against Kennesaw State's 111th-ranked defense. The matchup that decides it is Middle Tennessee's offense against Kennesaw State's defense. The biggest edge on the board is Kennesaw State's offensive line in the run game: 87th in adjusted line yards per carry, against Middle Tennessee's 137th-ranked defense. Adjust for opponents and Kennesaw State's defense falls from 73rd to 111th in EPA per play allowed: a lot of that came against soft offenses.
| Kennesaw State | Middle Tennessee | |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play (adjusted) | +0.06 (100th) | +0.10 (74th) |
| EPA per pass (adjusted) | +0.16 (91st) | +0.18 (74th) |
| EPA per rush (adjusted) | +0.03 (100th) | +0.04 (92nd) |
| Success rate (adjusted) | 39.8% (91st) | 39.6% (94th) |
| Success rate, standard downs (adjusted) | 45.3% (94th) | 45.4% (92nd) |
| Success rate, passing downs (adjusted) | 29.8% (82nd) | 29.7% (87th) |
| Explosiveness (adjusted) | 0.93 (82nd) | 0.94 (54th) |
| Line yards per carry (adjusted) | 2.92 (87th) | 2.95 (68th) |
| Open-field yards per carry (adjusted) | 0.86 (136th) | 1.14 (65th) |
| EPA per play allowed (adjusted) | +0.17 (111th) | +0.17 (113th) |
| EPA per pass allowed (adjusted) | +0.27 (113th) | +0.21 (76th) |
| EPA per rush allowed (adjusted) | +0.09 (91st) | +0.14 (120th) |
| Success rate allowed (adjusted) | 43.9% (99th) | 47.6% (132nd) |
| Explosiveness allowed (adjusted) | 0.94 (78th) | 0.95 (99th) |
| Line yards allowed per carry (adjusted) | 3.05 (96th) | 3.34 (137th) |
| Open-field yards allowed per carry (adjusted) | 0.99 (30th) | 1.16 (82nd) |
The same efficiency numbers, adjusted for the offenses and defenses each team has faced (CollegeFootballData.com). A good number against a soft schedule shrinks; one against a hard schedule grows.
Kennesaw State is better running (80th in EPA per rush) than throwing (100th). Middle Tennessee's run defense ranks 100th. Middle Tennessee is better running (66th in EPA per rush) than throwing (106th). Kennesaw State's run defense ranks 70th.
| Kennesaw State | Middle Tennessee | |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.07 (100th) | +0.09 (88th) |
| EPA per pass | +0.11 (100th) | +0.10 (106th) |
| EPA per rush | +0.08 (80th) | +0.10 (66th) |
| EPA per 3rd-down play | +0.26 (113th) | +0.23 (118th) |
| EPA per play allowed | +0.10 (73rd) | +0.14 (94th) |
| EPA per pass allowed | +0.19 (75th) | +0.19 (75th) |
| EPA per rush allowed | +0.07 (70th) | +0.13 (100th) |
| EPA per 3rd-down play allowed | +0.48 (97th) | +0.46 (94th) |
Expected points added per play, from CollegeFootballData.com. EPA measures how much each play changes the points a team can expect from the drive. Zero is break-even; +0.20 is very good. Not adjusted for opponents.
Kennesaw State is outscored by 5.0 a game, and Middle Tennessee is outscored by 4.3. Kennesaw State's offense ranks 124th in scoring, and the Middle Tennessee defense it faces ranks 100th in points allowed. Middle Tennessee's offense ranks 103rd against Kennesaw State's 77th-ranked defense. Neither side of the ball has a clear edge.
| Kennesaw State | Middle Tennessee | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored | 20.0 (124th) | 23.3 (103rd) |
| Points allowed | 25.0 (77th) | 27.6 (100th) |
Per game, FBS opponents only.
Kennesaw State's best matchup is staying on schedule: its offense ranks 68th in success rate, and Middle Tennessee's defense ranks 96th in success rate allowed.
| Kennesaw State | Middle Tennessee | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards / game | 232.0 (68th) | — () |
| Rush yards / game | 134.1 (108th) | — () |
| Yards per play | 5.61 (106th) | — () |
| Yards per carry | 4.49 (113th) | — () |
| Yards per attempt | 6.77 (102nd) | — () |
| Completion % | 67.5% (41st) | — () |
| Success rate | 44.0% (68th) | — () |
| Explosive play rate | 10.5% (108th) | — () |
| 3rd down conversion | 40.0% (71st) | — () |
| Sack rate (taken) | 3.2% (22nd) | — () |
| INT rate (thrown) | 2.5% (77th) | — () |
| SUPLEX | 56.0% (76th) | — () |
Per game and per play, from play-by-play.
Middle Tennessee's defense is best placed to get off the field on third down: it ranks 43rd in 3rd down conversions allowed, and Kennesaw State's offense is middle of the pack in 3rd down conversion rate (71st).
| Kennesaw State | Middle Tennessee | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards allowed / game | 231.0 (102nd) | 193.0 (37th) |
| Rush yards allowed / game | 160.9 (84th) | 194.4 (119th) |
| Yards per play allowed | 6.21 (91st) | 6.04 (85th) |
| Yards per carry allowed | 5.03 (82nd) | 6.00 (129th) |
| Yards per attempt allowed | 7.63 (82nd) | 6.31 (34th) |
| Success rate allowed | 44.6% (97th) | 44.5% (96th) |
| Explosive plays allowed | 12.4% (97th) | 13.4% (108th) |
| 3rd downs allowed | 37.8% (61st) | 35.2% (43rd) |
| Sack rate (generated) | 2.8% (134th) | 3.6% (124th) |
| INT rate (generated) | 1.4% (110th) | 2.3% (72nd) |
| SUPLEX allowed | 61.0% (113th) | 56.4% (84th) |
What opponents managed against them.
They split these evenly, 6 each. The biggest gap is power success allowed, where Middle Tennessee ranks 48th and Kennesaw State 118th.
| Kennesaw State | Middle Tennessee | |
|---|---|---|
| Big Uglies: offensive line | 48.2 (87th) | 49.0 (82nd) |
| Big Uglies: defensive front | 42.3 (119th) | 37.5 (131st) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.03 (80th) | 3.20 (43rd) |
| Line yards allowed per carry | 3.12 (102nd) | 3.44 (132nd) |
| Second-level yards per carry | 1.16 (46th) | 1.37 (7th) |
| Open-field yards per carry | 0.85 (108th) | 1.06 (83rd) |
| Stuff rate (runs stopped at or behind the line) | 23.5% (130th) | 17.9% (74th) |
| Stuff rate (defense) | 19.3% (66th) | 16.0% (106th) |
| Power success (short yardage) | 66.7% (100th) | 62.1% (124th) |
| Power success allowed | 80.0% (118th) | 67.4% (48th) |
| Front-seven havoc allowed | 7.5% (30th) | 7.6% (31st) |
| Front-seven havoc | 7.7% (116th) | 6.0% (137th) |
The lines. Big Uglies is our rating for each offensive line and each defensive front: adjusted line yards (30%), stuff rate (20%), power success (15%), sack rate (20%) and front-seven havoc (15%), against every FBS team. 50 is average, and every 10 points is a standard deviation. Line stats from CollegeFootballData.com, garbage time out.
| Kennesaw State | Middle Tennessee | |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions thrown / game | 0.88 (101st) | — () |
| Fumbles lost / game | 0.38 (42nd) | — () |
| Giveaways / game | 1.25 (63rd) | — () |
| Interceptions / game | 0.63 (78th) | 0.71 (66th) |
| Fumbles recovered / game | 0.63 (42nd) | 0.00 (131st) |
| Takeaways / game | 1.25 (64th) | 0.71 (118th) |
| Turnover margin / game | 0.0 (67th) | — () |
Per game, from play-by-play.
Middle Tennessee has the more talented roster (109th in the 247Sports talent composite; Kennesaw State is 133rd). But Kennesaw State plays further above its talent: −3.8 points of SP+ beyond what its roster predicts, to Middle Tennessee's −9.5.
| Kennesaw State | Middle Tennessee | |
|---|---|---|
| Talent composite | 502.9 (133rd) | 571.5 (109th) |
| Blue-chip ratio | 8.9% (75th) | 3.1% (106th) |
| Players on roster | 99 (133rd) | 107 (94th) |
| Rated by 247Sports | 45 (134th) | 64 (116th) |
| 5-star players | 0 (37th) | 0 (37th) |
| 4-star players | 4 (88th) | 2 (106th) |
| 3-star players | 39 (122nd) | 61 (66th) |
| Below 3-star | 2 (68th) | 1 (86th) |
| 2026 transfers in | 29 (34th) | 19 (84th) |
| Transfer share | 64.4% (9th) | 29.7% (63rd) |
| SP+ vs. talent | -3.8 (92nd) | -9.5 (122nd) |
| Returning production | 6.1% (124th) | 32.5% (85th) |
| Returning passing production | 0.0% (109th) | 39.2% (67th) |
| Returning rushing production | -3.8% (123rd) | 60.1% (58th) |
| Returning receiving production | 13.2% (116th) | 26.2% (90th) |
| 2026 recruiting class (national rank) | 120 (120th) | 119 (119th) |
| Recruiting rank, last four classes | 144.8 (136th) | 114.0 (119th) |
247Sports team talent composite and 2026 transfer portal class. Star counts cover only the players 247Sports rates, not walk-ons, so they add up to less than the full roster. Ranks are out of all 138 FBS teams.
Kennesaw State is −2.5 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is luck (−1.6). Middle Tennessee is +0.5 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is coaching (−1.6). Kennesaw State's record is 1.6 wins worse than its play on bad luck, so it's better than the record says.
| Kennesaw State | Middle Tennessee | |
|---|---|---|
| RECEIPTS (total) | -2.5 (129th) | +0.5 (57th) |
| Schedule RECEIPTS | +0.9 (46th) | +1.3 (30th) |
| Roster RECEIPTS | -1.3 (132nd) | -0.7 (115th) |
| Coach RECEIPTS | -0.6 (93rd) | -1.6 (128th) |
| Luck RECEIPTS | -1.6 (133rd) | +1.5 (4th) |
Where the wins came from. Every team starts as a .500 team. Then each win (or loss) goes to the schedule, the roster, the coaching or luck, and the four add up to the real record. Wins above or below a .500 team.
The numbers pick Middle Tennessee, 50% chance to win. SP+ and PRIME agree; Elo has Kennesaw State. Middle Tennessee's best matchup is its passing game, 74th in EPA per pass, against Kennesaw State's pass defense at 113th.
Wed, Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium. It's on CBSSN.
SP+ projects Middle Tennessee 25–23. That's from this season's SP+ offense, defense and special teams ratings, with home field worth 2.5 points.
DraftKings has Kennesaw State −1.5, total 49.5. The numbers pick winners, not bets.
It's tied 1–1. Last meeting: Kennesaw State won 24–16 in 2025.
Kennesaw State: Rickie Collins (1,658 passing yards), Alan Woods III (351 rushing yards) and Javon Rogers (401 receiving yards). Middle Tennessee: Roman Gagliano (1,644 passing yards), Terrence Brown Jr. (326 rushing yards) and Cam'Ron Lacy (514 receiving yards). Season totals through Oct 24, 2026.
Kennesaw State's is Rickie Collins (1,658 passing yards this season); Middle Tennessee's is Roman Gagliano (1,644 passing yards this season).
Numbers through the games of Oct 24, 2026. SP+ as of Oct 27, 2026. Updated every week.
Kennesaw State and Middle Tennessee: team pages with every stat and national rank. Compare any two teams.