The Old Oaken Bucket
vs.
Indiana vs. Purdue. First played in 1891; the results here start in 1892.
Purdue leads 75–44–6 in the Old Oaken Bucket through 2025. Indiana won the last meeting, 56–3, in 2025.
Who's won the Old Oaken Bucket lately?
- 2015Indiana54–36
- 2016Indiana26–24
- 2017Purdue31–24
- 2018Purdue28–21
- 2019Indiana44–41
- 2021Purdue44–7
- 2022Purdue30–16
- 2023Purdue35–31
- 2024Indiana66–0
- 2025Indiana56–3
Indiana has won 2 straight, since 2024. Over the last 10 meetings, it's even, 5–5.
What's the Old Oaken Bucket trophy?
Old Oaken Bucket: an old oak bucket found on a farm in southern Indiana, hung with a chain of bronze "I" and "P" links, each engraved with a game's score, date and site.
How did the Old Oaken Bucket start?
Purdue beat Indiana 60-0 on November 14, 1891. Chicago-area alumni of both schools proposed the bucket in 1925, and it came from the Bruner family farm between Kent and Hanover, where family lore says Confederate raiders under John Hunt Morgan may have used it. The first game for it, in Bloomington in 1925, ended 0-0, so the first link added was a joint "I-P." In 2024 Indiana won 66-0 in Bloomington, the biggest margin in the series.
What are the most famous Old Oaken Bucket games?
- 1925: First bucket gameThe teams tied 0-0 in Bloomington, so the first link was an "I-P."
- 2019: 44-41Indiana won 44-41 in West Lafayette.Final: Indiana 44–41
- 2024: 66-0Indiana won 66-0 in Bloomington, the largest margin in the series.Final: Indiana 66–0
How has the Old Oaken Bucket series swung?
Each bar is one meeting. Bars above the line are Indiana wins and bars below it are Purdue wins; the taller the bar, the bigger the margin (bars stop at 56 points). Over the last 10 meetings the two have split, 5–5. Purdue swept the 1950s, 9–0. The widest margins are Indiana 66–0 in 2024 and Purdue 68–0 in 1892.
How do Indiana and Purdue compare this season?
Indiana is the better team this season by SP+ (6th to 69th), and it's ahead on 8 of these 10 stats. Each row is one stat: the dots are each team's national rank out of 138, printed by the dot, and further left is better.
| National rank | Indiana | Purdue |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ overall | 6th | 69th |
| SP+ offense | 15th | 48th |
| SP+ defense | 2nd | 102nd |
| Success rate | 77th | 45th |
| Success rate allowed | 20th | 110th |
| Explosive play rate | 16th | 54th |
| Big Uglies: offensive line | 42nd | 103rd |
| Big Uglies: defensive front | 5th | 118th |
| Takeaways a game | 95th | 48th |
| Giveaways a game | 6th | 30th |
What are the records in the Old Oaken Bucket?
- Biggest Indiana win
- 2024, 66–0
- Biggest Purdue win
- 1892, 68–0
- Longest streaks
- Indiana, 4 straight (1944–1947); Purdue, 10 straight (1948–1957)
- Most points
- Purdue, 68 in 1892
- Ties
- 6
Who has the most yards in the Old Oaken Bucket?
| Best single game | Most in the series | |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | Kyle Orton (Purdue), 522 passing yards in 2004, with 6 TDs | Curtis Painter (Purdue), 1,113 passing yards in 4 games (2005–2008) |
| Rushing | Markell Jones (Purdue), 217 rushing yards in 2017 | Markell Jones (Purdue), 443 rushing yards in 4 games (2015–2018) |
| Receiving | Kyle Ingraham (Purdue), 209 receiving yards in 2004, with 2 TDs | Dorien Bryant (Purdue), 334 receiving yards in 4 games (2004–2007) |
From the box scores of the 21 meetings since 2004 on CollegeFootballData.com. Older games don't have player stats.
Old Oaken Bucket results: every game since 1892
| Year | Winner | Score | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Indiana | 56–3 | Purdue |
| 2024 | Indiana | 66–0 | Indiana |
| 2023 | Purdue | 35–31 | Purdue |
| 2022 | Purdue | 30–16 | Indiana |
| 2021 | Purdue | 44–7 | Purdue |
| 2019 | Indiana | 44–41 | Purdue |
| 2018 | Purdue | 28–21 | Indiana |
| 2017 | Purdue | 31–24 | Purdue |
| 2016 | Indiana | 26–24 | Indiana |
| 2015 | Indiana | 54–36 | Purdue |
| 2014 | Indiana | 23–16 | Indiana |
| 2013 | Indiana | 56–36 | Indiana |
| 2012 | Purdue | 56–35 | Purdue |
| 2011 | Purdue | 33–25 | Indiana |
| 2010 | Indiana | 34–31 | Purdue |
| 2009 | Purdue | 38–21 | Indiana |
| 2008 | Purdue | 62–10 | Purdue |
| 2007 | Indiana | 27–24 | Indiana |
| 2006 | Purdue | 28–19 | Purdue |
| 2005 | Purdue | 41–14 | Indiana |
| 2004 | Purdue | 63–24 | Purdue |
| 2003 | Purdue | 24–16 | Indiana |
| 2002 | Purdue | 34–10 | Purdue |
| 2001 | Indiana | 13–7 | Indiana |
| 2000 | Purdue | 41–13 | Purdue |
| 1999 | Purdue | 30–24 | Indiana |
| 1998 | Purdue | 52–7 | Purdue |
| 1997 | Purdue | 56–7 | Indiana |
| 1996 | Indiana | 33–16 | Purdue |
| 1995 | Purdue | 51–14 | Indiana |
| 1994 | Indiana | 33–29 | Purdue |
| 1993 | Indiana | 24–17 | Indiana |
| 1992 | Purdue | 13–10 | Purdue |
| 1991 | Indiana | 24–22 | Indiana |
| 1990 | Indiana | 28–14 | Purdue |
| 1989 | Purdue | 15–14 | Indiana |
| 1988 | Indiana | 52–7 | Purdue |
| 1987 | Indiana | 35–14 | Indiana |
| 1986 | Purdue | 17–15 | Purdue |
| 1985 | Purdue | 34–21 | Indiana |
| 1984 | Purdue | 31–24 | Purdue |
| 1983 | Purdue | 31–30 | Indiana |
| 1982 | Indiana | 13–7 | Purdue |
| 1981 | Indiana | 20–17 | Indiana |
| 1980 | Purdue | 24–23 | Purdue |
| 1979 | Purdue | 37–21 | Indiana |
| 1978 | Purdue | 20–7 | Purdue |
| 1977 | Indiana | 21–10 | Indiana |
| 1976 | Indiana | 20–14 | Purdue |
| 1975 | Purdue | 9–7 | Indiana |
| 1974 | Purdue | 38–17 | Purdue |
| 1973 | Purdue | 28–23 | Indiana |
| 1972 | Purdue | 42–7 | Purdue |
| 1971 | Indiana | 38–31 | Indiana |
| 1970 | Purdue | 40–0 | Purdue |
| 1969 | Purdue | 44–21 | Indiana |
| 1968 | Purdue | 38–35 | Purdue |
| 1967 | Indiana | 19–14 | Indiana |
| 1966 | Purdue | 51–6 | Purdue |
| 1965 | Purdue | 26–21 | Indiana |
| 1964 | Purdue | 28–22 | Purdue |
| 1963 | Purdue | 21–15 | Indiana |
| 1962 | Indiana | 12–7 | Purdue |
| 1961 | Purdue | 34–12 | Indiana |
| 1960 | Purdue | 35–6 | Purdue |
| 1959 | Purdue | 10–7 | Indiana |
| 1958 | Tie | 15–15 | Indiana |
| 1957 | Purdue | 35–13 | Indiana |
| 1956 | Purdue | 39–20 | Purdue |
| 1955 | Purdue | 6–4 | Indiana |
| 1954 | Purdue | 13–7 | Purdue |
| 1953 | Purdue | 30–0 | Indiana |
| 1952 | Purdue | 21–16 | Purdue |
| 1951 | Purdue | 21–13 | Indiana |
| 1950 | Purdue | 13–0 | Purdue |
| 1949 | Purdue | 14–6 | Indiana |
| 1948 | Purdue | 39–0 | Purdue |
| 1947 | Indiana | 16–14 | Indiana |
| 1946 | Indiana | 34–20 | Purdue |
| 1945 | Indiana | 26–0 | Indiana |
| 1944 | Indiana | 14–6 | Purdue |
| 1943 | Purdue | 7–0 | Indiana |
| 1942 | Indiana | 20–0 | Purdue |
| 1941 | Indiana | 7–0 | Indiana |
| 1940 | Indiana | 3–0 | Purdue |
| 1939 | Purdue | 7–6 | Indiana |
| 1938 | Purdue | 13–6 | Purdue |
| 1937 | Purdue | 13–7 | Indiana |
| 1936 | Tie | 20–20 | Indiana |
| 1935 | Indiana | 7–0 | Indiana |
| 1934 | Indiana | 17–6 | Purdue |
| 1933 | Purdue | 19–3 | Indiana |
| 1932 | Purdue | 25–7 | Purdue |
| 1931 | Purdue | 19–0 | Indiana |
| 1930 | Indiana | 7–6 | Purdue |
| 1929 | Purdue | 32–0 | Indiana |
| 1928 | Purdue | 14–0 | Purdue |
| 1927 | Purdue | 21–6 | Indiana |
| 1926 | Purdue | 24–14 | Purdue |
| 1925 | Tie | 0–0 | Purdue |
| 1924 | Purdue | 26–7 | Purdue |
| 1923 | Indiana | 3–0 | Indiana |
| 1922 | Tie | 7–7 | Indiana |
| 1921 | Indiana | 3–0 | Indiana |
| 1920 | Indiana | 10–7 | Purdue |
| 1917 | Indiana | 37–0 | Purdue |
| 1916 | Tie | 0–0 | Indiana |
| 1915 | Purdue | 7–0 | Indiana |
| 1914 | Purdue | 23–13 | Purdue |
| 1913 | Purdue | 42–7 | Indiana |
| 1912 | Purdue | 34–7 | Purdue |
| 1911 | Purdue | 12–5 | Indiana |
| 1910 | Indiana | 15–0 | Purdue |
| 1909 | Indiana | 36–3 | Purdue |
| 1908 | Indiana | 10–4 | Purdue |
| 1905 | Tie | 11–11 | Purdue |
| 1904 | Purdue | 27–0 | Purdue |
| 1902 | Purdue | 39–0 | Purdue |
| 1901 | Indiana | 11–6 | Indiana |
| 1900 | Indiana | 24–5 | Purdue |
| 1899 | Indiana | 17–5 | Purdue |
| 1898 | Purdue | 14–0 | Purdue |
| 1897 | Purdue | 20–6 | Purdue |
| 1893 | Purdue | 64–0 | Purdue |
| 1892 | Purdue | 68–0 | Purdue |
Results from CollegeFootballData.com. The schools' official series records can differ by a game or two (vacated wins, disputed early games).
Questions about the Old Oaken Bucket
Who leads the Old Oaken Bucket series?
Purdue leads 75–44–6 through the 2025 game, with 6 ties, in the 125 meetings on record since 1892.
Who won the last Old Oaken Bucket?
Indiana beat Purdue 56–3 on Nov 29, 2025 at Ross-Ade Stadium.
When was the first Old Oaken Bucket?
1891, by the schools' count. Our game-by-game results start in 1892.
What's the trophy for the Old Oaken Bucket?
Old Oaken Bucket: an old oak bucket found on a farm in southern Indiana, hung with a chain of bronze "I" and "P" links, each engraved with a game's score, date and site.
What's the biggest win in the Old Oaken Bucket?
Purdue won by 68 in 1892, 68–0. Indiana won by 66 in 2024, 66–0.
What's the longest winning streak in the Old Oaken Bucket?
Purdue won 10 straight from 1948 to 1957. Indiana won 4 straight from 1944 to 1947.
Who has won the Old Oaken Bucket lately?
Indiana has won 2 straight, since 2024. Over the last 10 meetings, it's even, 5–5.
Who has the most passing yards in an Old Oaken Bucket game?
Kyle Orton (Purdue), 522 passing yards in 2004, with 6 TDs, the most in one game since 2004. The most in the series: Curtis Painter (Purdue), 1,113 passing yards in 4 games (2005–2008).
Who has the most rushing yards in an Old Oaken Bucket game?
Markell Jones (Purdue), 217 rushing yards in 2017, the most in one game since 2004. The most in the series: Markell Jones (Purdue), 443 rushing yards in 4 games (2015–2018).
Who has the most receiving yards in an Old Oaken Bucket game?
Kyle Ingraham (Purdue), 209 receiving yards in 2004, with 2 TDs, the most in one game since 2004. The most in the series: Dorien Bryant (Purdue), 334 receiving yards in 4 games (2004–2007).
What is the Old Oaken Bucket?
The Old Oaken Bucket is the Indiana–Purdue rivalry, first played in 1891. Purdue leads 75–44–6 through 2025, and the winner takes home the Old Oaken Bucket.
What happened in the 1925 Old Oaken Bucket?
First bucket game: The teams tied 0-0 in Bloomington, so the first link was an "I-P."
What happened in the 2019 Old Oaken Bucket?
44-41: Indiana won 44-41 in West Lafayette. Final: Indiana 44–41.
What happened in the 2024 Old Oaken Bucket?
66-0: Indiana won 66-0 in Bloomington, the largest margin in the series. Final: Indiana 66–0.
Where did the Old Oaken Bucket come from?
A farm in southern Indiana. In 1925 the schools' Chicago alumni groups proposed a trophy, and alumni found an oak bucket on the Bruner family farm between Kent and Hanover; family lore says Morgan's Raiders drank from it during the Civil War. The winner adds a bronze I or P link to its chain, and the first link, from the 0–0 tie in 1925, is an I-P.
Where can I watch Indiana vs. Purdue, and what time is it?
Purdue at Indiana, Saturday, November 28, time to be announced, at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN). The TV network hasn't been announced yet.
When and where is the 2026 Old Oaken Bucket?
Purdue at Indiana, Saturday, November 28, time to be announced, at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN).
Indiana vs. Purdue prediction: who will win in 2026?
SP+ projects Indiana 41–14, about a 97% chance to win. The projection uses this season's ratings and updates every week.
Who has the Old Oaken Bucket?
Indiana has it. Indiana won the 2025 game, 56–3, its 2nd straight.
What was the score of the last Indiana vs. Purdue game?
Indiana won 56–3 on Nov 29, 2025.
What's the Indiana vs. Purdue record in the last 10 years?
Purdue is 5–3 in the 8 meetings since 2016.
Indiana vs. Purdue player stats: who starred in the 2025 game?
For Purdue, Ryan Browne threw for 238 yards; Antonio Harris ran for 31 yards; Nitro Tuggle had 80 receiving yards. For Indiana, Fernando Mendoza threw for 117 yards and 2 TDs; Roman Hemby ran for 152 yards and 1 TD; Davion Chandler had 65 receiving yards and 1 TD.
Who won the 2025 Old Oaken Bucket?
Indiana beat Purdue 56–3 on Nov 29, 2025 at Ross-Ade Stadium.
Who won the 2024 Old Oaken Bucket?
Indiana beat Purdue 66–0 on Dec 1, 2024 at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN).
Who won the 2023 Old Oaken Bucket?
Purdue beat Indiana 35–31 on Nov 25, 2023 at Ross-Ade Stadium.
Who won the 2022 Old Oaken Bucket?
Purdue beat Indiana 30–16 on Nov 26, 2022 at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN).
Who won the 2021 Old Oaken Bucket?
Purdue beat Indiana 44–7 on Nov 27, 2021 at Ross-Ade Stadium.
When was the last time Indiana won the Old Oaken Bucket?
2025, 56–3, the most recent meeting.
When was the last time Purdue won the Old Oaken Bucket?
2023, 35–31. Indiana has won both meetings since.
Related
- Indiana's 2026 team page
- Purdue's 2026 team page
- Shillelagh Trophy: Notre Dame vs. Purdue
- Purdue Cannon: Illinois vs. Purdue
- Every named rivalry
History and trophy sources: en.wikipedia.org.
College football, 2026 season
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Everything on this site starts with someone else's data, and we credit all of it. The projections, picks, rankings and tiers are our own math on top.
Where the data comes from
| Source | What we use | How often |
|---|---|---|
| CollegeFootballData.com, via the public cfbfastR files | Schedules, final scores, pregame Elo, play-by-play and box score stats, rosters | Usually posted Sunday or Monday morning after games |
| DraftKings lines (via The Odds API and CollegeFootballData.com) | The line and total on each game, and where each opened | Every morning, and before kickoffs Thursday to Saturday |
| Team logos and colors (ESPN's, via CollegeFootballData.com) | The logos on charts, game cards and team pages. They belong to the schools and are used only to identify the teams. | Preseason |
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| AP Top 25 (via NCAA.com) | Rankings and points, including others receiving votes | Sunday afternoons |
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| 247Sports | Team talent composite, star counts, 2026 transfer portal rankings | Preseason |
| The NIL Standard | Estimated NIL roster values | Preseason |
| us-atlas (U.S. Census Bureau boundaries) | State shapes for the map | Once |
How we turn it into projections
- Projected score. Each team's SP+ offense, plus how far the opponent's SP+ defense is from average, plus special teams. The home team gets half of a 2.5-point home edge added and the visitor half subtracted.
- Win chance. The projected margin turned into a probability, assuming games usually land within about 14 points of the projection. A 0-point margin is 50%; 14 points is about 84%.
- The three ratings. SP+ is built from every play this season. PRIME is a possession-efficiency rating. Elo uses only final scores and carries over from year to year, with 55 Elo points of home edge.
- The numbers' pick. The team at least two of the three ratings favor, with our confidence the average of their three win chances for that team. On the game cards, a pick is a lock when all three favor the same team and the average win chance is 80% or more, a coin flip when it's under 55%, and a lean otherwise. Injuries can drop the tier: each key player out counts by what he does for his team (a starting quarterback is 2 points, the feature back or top receiver half a point, doubtful counts half), the other side's injuries offset, and 1 point drops a tier, 2 points two. The game page shows it as an injury alert. Nobody overrides the numbers' pick.
- CFB Charts Top 25. SP+, PRIME and strength of record, each converted to a common scale and averaged.
- Playoff picture. The 2026-27 rules: automatic bids for the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC champions (the current conference leader stands in until the title games) and for the highest-ranked team from the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 or Sun Belt. Notre Dame is in if it ranks in the top 12. The rest are at-large teams by the chosen rating, and all 12 are seeded straight by that rating, so the top four get the byes. Once the committee's rankings are out (first release Tuesday, Nov. 3), they become the default ranking.
- Missing data. When a team's play-by-play is clearly incomplete (fewer than 45 offensive plays a game), we hide its offense stats instead of showing bad numbers.
Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of the 138 FBS teams.
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- SP+
- Bill Connelly's rating, built from play-by-play efficiency and explosiveness and adjusted for who each team played. The number is how many points better than an average FBS team a team is on a neutral field. SP+ 20 beats SP+ 10 by about 10.
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- A rating built possession by possession: how well a team turns drives into points and keeps opponents from doing the same, adjusted for opponents. Zero is an average FBS team.
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- A results-only rating. Every team has a number, 1500 is average, and the winner takes points from the loser after every game. Beat a great team and you take a lot. Beat a bad one and you take a few. It carries part of last season over, so it's slow to catch a team that changed.
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- How impressive a record is, given who a team played: how many more games it won than an average team would have against the same schedule. It grades the resume. SP+ and PRIME grade how good the team is.
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- Corrected for who a team played. Hanging 50 on an FCS team counts for less than hanging 30 on Georgia.
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- Every down, distance and spot on the field is worth some number of points on average. 1st and 10 at the opponent's 20 is worth a lot more than 3rd and 15 at your own 10. EPA is how much one play changed that number. A 50-yard bomb is a big plus. A pick-six is a very big minus.
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- A team's average EPA across all its plays. For an offense, above zero means it adds points and higher is better. For a defense, lower is better.
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- The share of plays that keep an offense on schedule: half the yards needed on 1st down, 70% of them on 2nd, all of them on 3rd and 4th. A 4-yard run on 1st and 10 is a success. A 4-yard run on 3rd and 6 isn't.
- Explosive play rate
- The share of plays that go for a run of 12 or more yards or a completion of 16 or more.
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- Record Explained: Coaching, Experience, Incoming talent, Pure luck and Toughness of Schedule. Where a team's wins came from. Every team starts as a .500 team. The record above or below .500 gets split four ways that add up to the real record: schedule (what an average team would win against that schedule), roster (the wins its talent and returning starters are worth on paper), coach (wins from playing better or worse than that roster) and luck (actual wins against the wins its SP+ says it should have). On team pages and in two charts.
- Schedule, Roster, Coach and Luck RECEIPTS
- The four parts of RECEIPTS. Schedule: what an average team would win against that schedule, minus .500. Roster: the extra wins from a roster this good on paper (247Sports talent and returning production). Coach: wins from playing better or worse than that roster should. Luck: actual wins against the wins SP+ expects. Recruiting rankings undersell the service academies, so their coaches get extra credit.
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- 247Sports' score for a roster, built from every player's recruiting rating, with the best players counting most. The blue-chip ratio is the share of the roster that were 4- or 5-star recruits.
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How the picks, tiers and projections work. The full method is on Sources and methods.
- Projected score
- Each team's SP+ offense, adjusted for how good the other team's defense is, plus special teams. The home team gets 2.5 points of home edge, split between the two scores.
- Win chance
- The projected margin turned into a percentage, assuming games usually land within about 14 points of the projection. A tie projection is 50%. A 14-point favorite is about 84%.
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- The team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favor. The confidence is the average of their three win chances. Nobody overrides it.
- Lock, Lean, Coin flip and Stay away
- How sure the numbers are about a straight-up pick. Lock: SP+, PRIME and Elo all favor the same team and the average win chance is 80% or more. Lean: the ratings favor the team, but not that strongly or not all three. Coin flip: the average win chance is under 55%. Stay away: injuries take the pick down. Key players count by what they do for the team: a starting quarterback out is 2 points, the feature back, top receiver or top pass rusher half a point, the No. 2 receiver or playmaker a quarter, and a short-handed line or secondary half a point. Doubtful counts half. When the picked team's points, minus the other side's, reach 1, the pick drops a tier (a Lock to a Lean, a Lean or Coin flip to Stay away); at 2 it drops two.
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- At-large
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Privacy policy
Last updated October 30, 2026.
There are no accounts and no ad trackers. The only personal information we collect is what you choose to give us: your email address if you sign up for the newsletter, and whatever you put in the contact form.
What stays on your device
The site remembers a few choices in your browser's local storage so they're there next time: the teams you last compared, your filters and chart settings, and any Top 25 you build. That information stays in your browser. It isn't sent to us, and you can clear it any time by clearing your browser's site data.
Share images
Images you make with the share tools are created in your browser. If you use Post on X, we upload that one image so X can show it with your post's link. It stays at that link, with the chart's title and address and nothing about you, for 90 days, then it's deleted. Copy image, Save image and Embed upload nothing.
The newsletter form
When you sign up for the newsletter, your email address goes to Beehiiv, the service that sends it. We use it only to send the newsletter. Every issue has an unsubscribe link, and unsubscribing removes you from the list.
The contact form
When you send a message through the contact page, we keep it, with the email address and name you give us, so we can answer it. It's emailed to us and stored on Cloudflare. We don't add you to the newsletter or share it with anyone. Ask us and we'll delete it.
The ask box
When you ask for a chart, your question goes to Anthropic's Claude, which picks the chart's settings. We keep the question for 180 days, without your IP address, to see which charts people want and fix the ones the box gets wrong. Email addresses and phone numbers typed into a question are blanked out before it's saved.
Hosting
Our host, Cloudflare, keeps standard server logs, such as IP addresses and the pages requested, to run and protect the site. We count visits with Cloudflare Web Analytics, which doesn't use cookies or track you across sites.
Ads
There are no ads on the site yet. When we add them, the ad network and its partners may use cookies and similar tools to show ads and measure them, and we'll name them here, update the date at the top and, where the law requires it, ask before any of that runs.
Children
The site isn't directed at children under 13, and we don't knowingly collect information from them.
Changes
If this policy changes, we'll update the date at the top.
About
About College Football Charts
College Football Charts is a college football stats site: a pick for every FBS game, head to heads across 75+ stats, the playoff picture, and charts you can bend to support any narrative (except Big 12 supremacy).
What's here
Every FBS team, player and game gets its own page, with national ranks, the ratings people argue about (SP+, PRIME and Elo) and charts you can share. The rivalry pages carry the series history. The tools let you build your own Top 25, your own 12-team playoff field and your own charts.
Who makes the picks
The numbers. Every pick is the team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favor, and nobody overrides them. When they miss, the retro says so and by how much.
Where the numbers come from
We don't make the ratings; we put them side by side. SP+ is Bill Connelly's. SUPLEX is Nate Tice's. The play-by-play comes from CollegeFootballData.com and cfbfastR. The full list, and how we turn it into picks, is on Sources and methods.
What this isn't
Betting advice. The line shows up because it's part of the story of a game, not because we want you to bet it.
Get in touch
Questions, a stat you want to see, a bug, or a partnership idea: send us a note. The newsletter has the picks and the retro every week.
About
Contact
Questions, ideas, bugs, partnerships: they all come here.
We use what you send only to answer it. See the privacy policy.
- 12 teams, under the 2026-27 rules. Automatic bids go to the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC champions, and to the highest-ranked team from the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 or Sun Belt. Until the title games, each conference's current leader stands in as its champion.
- Notre Dame is in if you rank it in your top 12. Everyone else is at-large.
- Seeds go straight by your order. Seeds 1 to 4 get first-round byes; 5 to 12 play first-round games at the higher seed.
- The builder won't let you remove a Power 4 champion or your last team from outside the Power 4.
Drag a team by its handle (⋮⋮) to reseed it; with a keyboard, focus the handle and use the up and down arrow keys. Pick a different team from a row's menu to swap it in. Your field is saved in this browser.
Your 12 seeds
Your bracket
What's in it
- Thursday: the picks. The week's best games, the upset we like, projected scores for the big ones, and charts worth arguing about.
- Monday: the retro. How the picks did, the record so far, what we got wrong and why.
- Every issue, on the site. Past issues will live here, so you can link anyone to them.
The first issue is coming soon.
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Up to 40 characters each. Leave one blank to keep ours. Your labels ride along in the link, the embed and the share image.
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What this shows
Beating the trend
Trailing the trend
Projected scores come from SP+ offense, defense and special teams, plus 2.5 points for the home team. Cards also show DraftKings' line and total as facts: we pick winners, not bets. Open Details for the full read, or Head to head for every stat.
This week
Final scores against what we said before kickoff. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favored. Ranked means in that week's AP poll. Open a game for the full preview as it stood going into the week.
Last week
All-time picks record
Straight-up picks: did the pick win? The numbers' pick is the team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favor. The numbers' and SP+ picks start in Week 8; Elo picks go back to Week 1.
Week by week
Each column is that week's ranking. Arrows compare the latest poll to the week before. NR means not ranked.
Rankings come from cfbtrack.com. Week 1 is the preseason poll; each later week is the poll released before that week's games.
Over time
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What this shows
Rank
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What this shows
Compare
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Up to 40 characters each. Leave one blank to keep ours. Your labels ride along in the link, the embed and the share image.
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What this shows
SP+ vs. payroll is the average, across a conference's teams with an NIL valuation (positive means its teams play better than their payrolls predict). Blue-chip ratio is the share of all its rostered players who were 4- or 5-star recruits.
Ranks are national, out of 138 FBS teams. A top-10 team also counts toward the top 25 and top 40, and everyone outside the last cutoff counts as weak. Open a conference to see its teams.
Conference depth
Projected bracket
Seeds 1–4 get first-round byes. Seeds 5–8 host the first round.
The field and the bubble
The columns on the right show where each team would be seeded under the other ratings. A dash means out.
How the field is built
- 12 teams. Five get in automatically: the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC champions, plus the highest-ranked team from the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 or Sun Belt (champion or not).
- Notre Dame is in if it ranks in the top 12.
- At-large. The remaining spots go to the highest-ranked teams left. If an automatic qualifier ranks outside the top 12, it takes the last at-large spot.
- Seeding follows the ranking, as it has since 2025. A conference champion isn't guaranteed a bye.
- Champions mid-season. "Current conference leader" uses the best conference record so far, with ties broken by the chosen rating. "Highest-rated team" picks the best-rated team in each conference instead.
- Composite averages SP+, PRIME and strength of record after putting each on a common scale.
- This is a projection from today's numbers. The real field is chosen by a committee on Dec. 6, after conference title games.
How we picked it
How we picked it
Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.
Where the game is won
Where the game is won
Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.
Injuries and availability
Statuses come from the conference availability reports and team news, as of the date shown. "Hasn't played" means a regular (the main passer, a quarter of the carries or 15% of the catches) with no pass, carry or catch in his team's last two games, from the play-by-play. That can be an injury, a benching or a suspension. Linemen and defenders don't show up in that check.
The teams in charts
The players in charts
FAQ
Keep going
Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.