College football, 2026 season
Stats and data viz for all 138 FBS teams and 3,000+ players. Find out who's good, who's lucky and who's paying for it. Then use box scores, advanced stats and anything else we could get our hands on to build charts that support your takes.
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Everything on this site starts with someone else's data, and we credit all of it. The projections, picks, rankings and tiers are our own math on top.
| Source | What we use | How often |
|---|---|---|
| CollegeFootballData.com, via the public cfbfastR files | Schedules, final scores, pregame Elo, play-by-play and box score stats, rosters | Usually posted Sunday or Monday morning after games |
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| 247Sports | Team talent composite, star counts, 2026 transfer portal rankings | Preseason |
| The NIL Standard | Estimated NIL roster values | Preseason |
| us-atlas (U.S. Census Bureau boundaries) | State shapes for the map | Once |
Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of the 138 FBS teams.
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Last updated October 26, 2026.
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Last updated October 30, 2026.
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College Football Charts is a college football stats site: a pick for every FBS game, head to heads across 75+ stats, the playoff picture, and charts you can bend to support any narrative (except Big 12 supremacy).
Every FBS team, player and game gets its own page, with national ranks, the ratings people argue about (SP+, PRIME and Elo) and charts you can share. The rivalry pages carry the series history. The tools let you build your own Top 25, your own 12-team playoff field and your own charts.
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Projected scores come from SP+ offense, defense and special teams, plus 2.5 points for the home team. Cards also show DraftKings' line and total as facts: we pick winners, not bets. Open Details for the full read, or Head to head for every stat.
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Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.
Coastal Carolina at Georgia State
Week 9, Sat, Oct 31, 2:00 PM ET, Center Parc Stadium.
The numbers say: Georgia State, 70% to win.
| Kickoff | Sat, Oct 31, 2:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| TV | ESPN+ |
| Where | Center Parc Stadium |
| Weather | 68°, cloudy, wind 11 mph |
| Line | Georgia State −4, total 55.5 |
| Line movement | Opened Georgia State −6.5; moved 2.5 points toward Coastal Carolina. Total opened 57.5, down 2. |
| Series | Coastal Carolina leads 5–4 |
| Last meeting | Coastal Carolina 40–27 in 2025 |
| Margin | Win chance | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SP+ | Georgia State by 3.6 | 60% | 67 |
| PRIME | Georgia State by 12.0 | 80% | |
| Elo | Georgia State | 70% | |
| The line | Georgia State −4, opened −6.5 | 55.5, opened 57.5 |
Margins include home field. SP+ is Bill Connelly's rating; Sources has PRIME and Elo. Line and total from DraftKings, as of Fri, Oct 30, 7:43 PM ET.
The numbers say: Georgia State. 70% chance to win
All three ratings favor Georgia State, by 3.6 to 12.0 points. Georgia State's best matchup is its early-down offense, 24th in SUPLEX, against Coastal Carolina's early-down defense at 135th. Coastal Carolina's way back in is its takeaway defense, 21st in interceptions per pass, against Georgia State's ball security at 108th.
Each chart puts all 138 FBS teams on two stats; Coastal Carolina and Georgia State are lit. Dashed lines are the FBS averages, and up and right is better. Ranks in parentheses. Games through Oct 24, 2026.
The scatter charts show the top 40 FBS players at the position by both stats combined, plus the players lit here. Dashed lines are the averages; up and right is better. Ranks are among every FBS player at the position with enough snaps. Takeaways are interceptions plus fumble recoveries. Games through Oct 24, 2026.
On a neutral field, SP+ has Georgia State 1.1 points better (105th to 109th). PRIME also has Georgia State ahead, by 9.5. Elo, which only sees results, also has Georgia State ahead (95th to 110th).
| Coastal Carolina | Georgia State | |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ overall | -10.3 (109th) | -9.2 (105th) |
| SP+ offense | 23.3 (96th) | 26.3 (75th) |
| SP+ defense | 33.7 (119th) | 35.3 (127th) |
| SP+ special teams | 0.1 (54th) | -0.2 (92nd) |
| PRIME net | -10.8 (113th) | -1.3 (75th) |
| PRIME offense | -6.70 (114th) | 3.93 (37th) |
| PRIME defense | -4.71 (104th) | -4.96 (107th) |
| PRIME SOS | -5.0 (96th) | -7.9 (122nd) |
| PRIME SOR | -2.3 (121st) | -0.8 (92nd) |
| Elo | 1277 (110th) | 1366 (95th) |
Opponent-adjusted power ratings. These drive the projection.
Coastal Carolina's offense ranks 80th in adjusted EPA per play, and the Georgia State defense it faces ranks 67th in EPA per play allowed. Georgia State's offense ranks 43rd against Coastal Carolina's 107th-ranked defense. The matchup that decides it is Georgia State's offense against Coastal Carolina's defense. The biggest edge on the board is Georgia State's passing game: 19th in adjusted EPA per pass, against Coastal Carolina's 121st-ranked defense. That's a mismatch.
| Coastal Carolina | Georgia State | |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play (adjusted) | +0.09 (80th) | +0.14 (43rd) |
| EPA per pass (adjusted) | +0.21 (58th) | +0.29 (19th) |
| EPA per rush (adjusted) | +0.05 (80th) | +0.07 (61st) |
| Success rate (adjusted) | 38.3% (114th) | 44.0% (40th) |
| Success rate, standard downs (adjusted) | 42.6% (129th) | 48.0% (45th) |
| Success rate, passing downs (adjusted) | 32.3% (32nd) | 32.3% (31st) |
| Explosiveness (adjusted) | 0.93 (89th) | 0.91 (112th) |
| Line yards per carry (adjusted) | 3.02 (47th) | 3.10 (26th) |
| Open-field yards per carry (adjusted) | 1.15 (60th) | 1.31 (22nd) |
| EPA per play allowed (adjusted) | +0.16 (107th) | +0.11 (67th) |
| EPA per pass allowed (adjusted) | +0.28 (121st) | +0.15 (43rd) |
| EPA per rush allowed (adjusted) | +0.07 (76th) | +0.10 (100th) |
| Success rate allowed (adjusted) | 46.8% (127th) | 41.3% (65th) |
| Explosiveness allowed (adjusted) | 0.90 (16th) | 0.94 (72nd) |
| Line yards allowed per carry (adjusted) | 3.09 (110th) | 3.02 (89th) |
| Open-field yards allowed per carry (adjusted) | 1.30 (108th) | 1.27 (101st) |
The same efficiency numbers, adjusted for the offenses and defenses each team has faced (CollegeFootballData.com). A good number against a soft schedule shrinks; one against a hard schedule grows.
Coastal Carolina is about as good throwing (58th in EPA per pass) as running (66th). Georgia State is better throwing (12th in EPA per pass) than running (37th). Coastal Carolina's pass defense ranks 118th, so that's a mismatch. On third down, Georgia State has the edge: its offense ranks 25th in EPA per third-down play, and the defense it faces ranks 96th.
| Coastal Carolina | Georgia State | |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.13 (71st) | +0.24 (25th) |
| EPA per pass | +0.25 (58th) | +0.44 (12th) |
| EPA per rush | +0.10 (66th) | +0.16 (37th) |
| EPA per 3rd-down play | +0.47 (64th) | +0.63 (25th) |
| EPA per play allowed | +0.16 (102nd) | +0.10 (73rd) |
| EPA per pass allowed | +0.36 (118th) | +0.08 (37th) |
| EPA per rush allowed | +0.08 (77th) | +0.17 (117th) |
| EPA per 3rd-down play allowed | +0.47 (96th) | +0.35 (52nd) |
Expected points added per play, from CollegeFootballData.com. EPA measures how much each play changes the points a team can expect from the drive. Zero is break-even; +0.20 is very good. Not adjusted for opponents.
Coastal Carolina outscores FBS opponents by 0.2 a game, and Georgia State by 9.9. Coastal Carolina's offense ranks 89th in scoring, and the Georgia State defense it faces ranks 91st in points allowed. Georgia State's offense ranks 26th against Coastal Carolina's 89th-ranked defense. The matchup that decides it is Georgia State's offense against Coastal Carolina's defense.
| Coastal Carolina | Georgia State | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored | 26.1 (89th) | 35.9 (26th) |
| Points allowed | 25.9 (89th) | 26.0 (91st) |
Per game, FBS opponents only.
Coastal Carolina's best matchup is big plays: its offense ranks 53rd in explosive play rate, and Georgia State's defense ranks 135th in explosive plays allowed. That's a mismatch. Georgia State's best matchup is early downs: its offense ranks 24th in SUPLEX, and Coastal Carolina's defense ranks 135th in SUPLEX allowed. That's a mismatch.
| Coastal Carolina | Georgia State | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards / game | 237.1 (61st) | 247.1 (48th) |
| Rush yards / game | 163.6 (72nd) | 210.0 (24th) |
| Yards per play | 6.06 (77th) | 6.45 (46th) |
| Yards per carry | 5.28 (64th) | 5.86 (27th) |
| Yards per attempt | 7.28 (85th) | 7.27 (86th) |
| Completion % | 48.3% (129th) | 57.6% (98th) |
| Success rate | 39.3% (112th) | 44.1% (65th) |
| Explosive play rate | 12.7% (53rd) | 14.1% (32nd) |
| 3rd down conversion | 34.8% (105th) | 40.8% (68th) |
| Sack rate (taken) | 7.3% (103rd) | 2.9% (14th) |
| INT rate (thrown) | 1.8% (43rd) | 3.4% (108th) |
| SUPLEX | 51.7% (99th) | 62.7% (24th) |
Per game and per play, from play-by-play.
Coastal Carolina's defense is best placed to pick off passes: it ranks 21st in interception rate, and Georgia State's offense is bottom-40 at avoiding interceptions (108th). That's a mismatch. Georgia State's defense is best placed to get home: it ranks 8th in sack rate, and Coastal Carolina's offense is bottom-40 at avoiding sacks (103rd). That's a mismatch.
| Coastal Carolina | Georgia State | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards allowed / game | 216.9 (81st) | 207.4 (62nd) |
| Rush yards allowed / game | 212.7 (130th) | 160.9 (84th) |
| Yards per play allowed | 7.16 (130th) | 6.46 (107th) |
| Yards per carry allowed | 5.98 (127th) | 5.52 (109th) |
| Yards per attempt allowed | 9.67 (133rd) | 8.30 (102nd) |
| Success rate allowed | 49.3% (132nd) | 41.9% (67th) |
| Explosive plays allowed | 15.5% (131st) | 16.3% (135th) |
| 3rd downs allowed | 46.3% (121st) | 33.3% (29th) |
| Sack rate (generated) | 8.2% (24th) | 10.3% (8th) |
| INT rate (generated) | 3.8% (21st) | 1.1% (119th) |
| SUPLEX allowed | 66.0% (135th) | 62.1% (121st) |
What opponents managed against them.
Georgia State has the better number in 10 of 12. The biggest gap is front-seven havoc allowed, where Georgia State ranks 18th and Coastal Carolina 119th.
| Coastal Carolina | Georgia State | |
|---|---|---|
| Big Uglies: offensive line | 49.0 (82nd) | 55.5 (28th) |
| Big Uglies: defensive front | 46.8 (90th) | 51.8 (57th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.26 (28th) | 3.41 (16th) |
| Line yards allowed per carry | 3.21 (117th) | 3.02 (86th) |
| Second-level yards per carry | 1.28 (16th) | 1.29 (14th) |
| Open-field yards per carry | 1.19 (70th) | 1.56 (28th) |
| Stuff rate (runs stopped at or behind the line) | 17.6% (66th) | 17.0% (61st) |
| Stuff rate (defense) | 14.4% (123rd) | 21.9% (29th) |
| Power success (short yardage) | 72.0% (69th) | 64.5% (115th) |
| Power success allowed | 74.4% (92nd) | 88.9% (133rd) |
| Front-seven havoc allowed | 11.2% (119th) | 6.6% (18th) |
| Front-seven havoc | 10.0% (57th) | 11.3% (31st) |
The lines. Big Uglies is our rating for each offensive line and each defensive front: adjusted line yards (30%), stuff rate (20%), power success (15%), sack rate (20%) and front-seven havoc (15%), against every FBS team. 50 is average, and every 10 points is a standard deviation. Line stats from CollegeFootballData.com, garbage time out.
Coastal Carolina is +0.4 in turnover margin a game and Georgia State is −0.9. At about five points a turnover, that's roughly a 6-point edge for Coastal Carolina. Turnover margin rarely holds from one month to the next, so don't count on it. Fumble recoveries are mostly luck, and Coastal Carolina's takeaways lean on them (1.0 of 1.9 a game).
| Coastal Carolina | Georgia State | |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions thrown / game | 0.57 (40th) | 1.14 (121st) |
| Fumbles lost / game | 0.86 (116th) | 0.57 (74th) |
| Giveaways / game | 1.43 (88th) | 1.71 (117th) |
| Interceptions / game | 0.86 (45th) | 0.29 (119th) |
| Fumbles recovered / game | 1.00 (5th) | 0.57 (51st) |
| Takeaways / game | 1.86 (11th) | 0.86 (107th) |
| Turnover margin / game | +0.4 (35th) | -0.9 (123rd) |
Per game, from play-by-play.
Georgia State has the more talented roster (105th in the 247Sports talent composite; Coastal Carolina is 106th). Georgia State also plays further above its talent: −3.7 points of SP+ beyond what its roster predicts, to Coastal Carolina's −4.7.
| Coastal Carolina | Georgia State | |
|---|---|---|
| Talent composite | 574.0 (106th) | 574.2 (105th) |
| Blue-chip ratio | 9.1% (72nd) | 10.3% (68th) |
| Players on roster | 103 (119th) | 114 (44th) |
| Rated by 247Sports | 55 (129th) | 58 (123rd) |
| 5-star players | 0 (37th) | 0 (37th) |
| 4-star players | 5 (81st) | 6 (73rd) |
| 3-star players | 49 (108th) | 51 (103rd) |
| Below 3-star | 1 (86th) | 1 (86th) |
| 2026 transfers in | 41 (11th) | 33 (22nd) |
| Transfer share | 74.5% (2nd) | 56.9% (14th) |
| SP+ vs. talent | -4.7 (97th) | -3.7 (90th) |
| Returning production | 15.4% (107th) | 46.5% (58th) |
| Returning passing production | 11.5% (79th) | 64.2% (61st) |
| Returning rushing production | 16.1% (98th) | 126.8% (9th) |
| Returning receiving production | 17.0% (108th) | 27.6% (87th) |
| 2026 recruiting class (national rank) | 118 (118th) | 84 (84th) |
| Recruiting rank, last four classes | 99.5 (102nd) | 96.8 (96th) |
247Sports team talent composite and 2026 transfer portal class. Star counts cover only the players 247Sports rates, not walk-ons, so they add up to less than the full roster. Ranks are out of all 138 FBS teams.
Coastal Carolina is −1.5 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is schedule (+1.2). Georgia State is +0.5 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is schedule (+1.3). Coastal Carolina's record is 1.1 wins worse than its play on bad luck, so it's better than the record says.
| Coastal Carolina | Georgia State | |
|---|---|---|
| RECEIPTS (total) | -1.5 (115th) | +0.5 (57th) |
| Schedule RECEIPTS | +1.2 (34th) | +1.3 (28th) |
| Roster RECEIPTS | -0.8 (120th) | -0.5 (102nd) |
| Coach RECEIPTS | -0.9 (105th) | -0.6 (94th) |
| Luck RECEIPTS | -1.1 (122nd) | +0.3 (49th) |
Where the wins came from. Every team starts as a .500 team. Then each win (or loss) goes to the schedule, the roster, the coaching or luck, and the four add up to the real record. Wins above or below a .500 team.
The numbers pick Georgia State, 70% chance to win. All three ratings favor the same team. Georgia State's best matchup is its early-down offense, 24th in SUPLEX, against Coastal Carolina's early-down defense at 135th.
Sat, Oct 31, 2:00 PM ET at Center Parc Stadium. It's on ESPN+.
SP+ projects Georgia State 35–32. That's from this season's SP+ offense, defense and special teams ratings, with home field worth 2.5 points.
DraftKings has Georgia State −4, total 55.5. The numbers pick winners, not bets.
Coastal Carolina leads 5–4. Last meeting: Coastal Carolina won 40–27 in 2025.
Coastal Carolina: Deuce Bailey (1,654 passing yards), Dominic Knicely (451 rushing yards) and Colton Hinton (297 receiving yards). Georgia State: Cameran Brown (1,374 passing yards), Lanear McCrary Jr. (398 rushing yards) and Rodshaun Dorsey (418 receiving yards). Season totals through Oct 24, 2026.
Coastal Carolina's is Deuce Bailey (1,654 passing yards this season); Georgia State's is Cameran Brown (1,374 passing yards this season).
Numbers through the games of Oct 24, 2026. SP+ as of Oct 27, 2026. Updated every week.
Coastal Carolina and Georgia State: team pages with every stat and national rank. Compare any two teams.