College football, 2026 season
Stats and data viz for all 138 FBS teams and 3,000+ players. Find out who's good, who's lucky and who's paying for it. Then use box scores, advanced stats and anything else we could get our hands on to build charts that support your takes.
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Everything on this site starts with someone else's data, and we credit all of it. The projections, picks, rankings and tiers are our own math on top.
| Source | What we use | How often |
|---|---|---|
| CollegeFootballData.com, via the public cfbfastR files | Schedules, final scores, pregame Elo, play-by-play and box score stats, rosters | Usually posted Sunday or Monday morning after games |
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Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of the 138 FBS teams.
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Last updated October 26, 2026.
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Last updated October 30, 2026.
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College Football Charts is a college football stats site: a pick for every FBS game, head to heads across 75+ stats, the playoff picture, and charts you can bend to support any narrative (except Big 12 supremacy).
Every FBS team, player and game gets its own page, with national ranks, the ratings people argue about (SP+, PRIME and Elo) and charts you can share. The rivalry pages carry the series history. The tools let you build your own Top 25, your own 12-team playoff field and your own charts.
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Projected scores come from SP+ offense, defense and special teams, plus 2.5 points for the home team. Cards also show DraftKings' line and total as facts: we pick winners, not bets. Open Details for the full read, or Head to head for every stat.
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Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.
Week 9, Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM ET, CEFCU Stadium.
The numbers say: New Mexico, 88% to win.
| Kickoff | Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| TV | MW+ |
| Where | CEFCU Stadium |
| Weather | 66°, cloudy, wind 6 mph |
| Line | New Mexico −14.5, total 42.5 |
| Line movement | Hasn't moved since it opened. |
| Series | San José State leads 16–5–1 |
| Last meeting | San José State 35–28 in 2025 |
| Margin | Win chance | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SP+ | New Mexico by 18.1 | 90% | 35 |
| PRIME | New Mexico by 18.2 | 90% | |
| Elo | New Mexico | 83% | |
| The line | New Mexico −14.5 | 42.5 |
Margins include home field. SP+ is Bill Connelly's rating; Sources has PRIME and Elo. Line and total from DraftKings, as of Fri, Oct 30, 7:43 PM ET.
The numbers say: New Mexico. 88% chance to win
All three ratings favor New Mexico, by 18.1 to 18.2 points, and it isn't close. New Mexico's best matchup is its scoring defense, 1st in points allowed, against San José State's scoring offense at 117th. San José State's way back in is its pass rush, 20th in sack rate, against New Mexico's pass protection at 129th.
Each chart puts all 138 FBS teams on two stats; New Mexico and San José State are lit. Dashed lines are the FBS averages, and up and right is better. Ranks in parentheses. Games through Oct 24, 2026.
The scatter charts show the top 40 FBS players at the position by both stats combined, plus the players lit here. Dashed lines are the averages; up and right is better. Ranks are among every FBS player at the position with enough snaps. Takeaways are interceptions plus fumble recoveries. Games through Oct 24, 2026.
On a neutral field, SP+ has New Mexico 20.6 points better (36th to 114th). PRIME also has New Mexico ahead, by 20.7. Elo, which only sees results, also has New Mexico ahead (35th to 102nd).
| New Mexico | San José State | |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ overall | 9.3 (36th) | -11.3 (114th) |
| SP+ offense | 26.8 (68th) | 15.9 (126th) |
| SP+ defense | 17.6 (20th) | 27.0 (75th) |
| SP+ special teams | 0.0 (68th) | -0.2 (92nd) |
| PRIME net | 7.7 (34th) | -13.0 (120th) |
| PRIME offense | -0.39 (66th) | -10.79 (135th) |
| PRIME defense | 7.55 (20th) | -0.81 (74th) |
| PRIME SOS | -8.1 (126th) | -6.8 (111th) |
| PRIME SOR | 1.2 (36th) | -1.3 (107th) |
| Elo | 1680 (35th) | 1352 (102nd) |
Opponent-adjusted power ratings. These drive the projection.
New Mexico's offense ranks 53rd in adjusted EPA per play, and the San José State defense it faces ranks 58th in EPA per play allowed. San José State's offense ranks 96th against New Mexico's 15th-ranked defense. Neither side of the ball has a clear edge. The biggest edge on the board is New Mexico's run game: 30th in adjusted EPA per rush, against San José State's 80th-ranked defense.
| New Mexico | San José State | |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play (adjusted) | +0.12 (53rd) | +0.06 (96th) |
| EPA per pass (adjusted) | +0.18 (79th) | +0.17 (83rd) |
| EPA per rush (adjusted) | +0.12 (30th) | +0.04 (91st) |
| Success rate (adjusted) | 39.0% (103rd) | 35.8% (130th) |
| Success rate, standard downs (adjusted) | 44.5% (109th) | 44.6% (105th) |
| Success rate, passing downs (adjusted) | 29.9% (81st) | 25.9% (131st) |
| Explosiveness (adjusted) | 1.00 (6th) | 0.94 (64th) |
| Line yards per carry (adjusted) | 2.97 (62nd) | 2.93 (84th) |
| Open-field yards per carry (adjusted) | 1.26 (33rd) | 0.99 (112th) |
| EPA per play allowed (adjusted) | +0.00 (15th) | +0.09 (58th) |
| EPA per pass allowed (adjusted) | +0.13 (33rd) | +0.14 (37th) |
| EPA per rush allowed (adjusted) | −0.01 (13th) | +0.08 (80th) |
| Success rate allowed (adjusted) | 36.7% (16th) | 43.0% (88th) |
| Explosiveness allowed (adjusted) | 0.96 (110th) | 0.91 (26th) |
| Line yards allowed per carry (adjusted) | 2.52 (4th) | 3.00 (82nd) |
| Open-field yards allowed per carry (adjusted) | 1.13 (73rd) | 0.96 (18th) |
The same efficiency numbers, adjusted for the offenses and defenses each team has faced (CollegeFootballData.com). A good number against a soft schedule shrinks; one against a hard schedule grows.
New Mexico is better running (31st in EPA per rush) than throwing (96th). San José State's run defense ranks 70th, so that's an edge. San José State is better throwing (69th in EPA per pass) than running (111th). New Mexico's pass defense ranks 2nd, so the defense has the better of it.
| New Mexico | San José State | |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.16 (57th) | +0.09 (88th) |
| EPA per pass | +0.12 (96th) | +0.22 (69th) |
| EPA per rush | +0.18 (31st) | +0.01 (111th) |
| EPA per 3rd-down play | +0.58 (37th) | +0.34 (100th) |
| EPA per play allowed | −0.18 (1st) | +0.07 (56th) |
| EPA per pass allowed | −0.11 (2nd) | +0.12 (51st) |
| EPA per rush allowed | −0.16 (4th) | +0.07 (70th) |
| EPA per 3rd-down play allowed | +0.15 (12th) | +0.24 (23rd) |
Expected points added per play, from CollegeFootballData.com. EPA measures how much each play changes the points a team can expect from the drive. Zero is break-even; +0.20 is very good. Not adjusted for opponents.
New Mexico outscores FBS opponents by 25.7 a game, and San José State is outscored by 2.1. New Mexico's offense ranks 19th in scoring, and the San José State defense it faces ranks 55th in points allowed. San José State's offense ranks 117th against New Mexico's 1st-ranked defense. The matchup that decides it is New Mexico's offense against San José State's defense.
| New Mexico | San José State | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored | 37.0 (19th) | 20.4 (117th) |
| Points allowed | 11.3 (1st) | 22.5 (55th) |
Per game, FBS opponents only.
New Mexico's best matchup is its run game: its offense ranks 54th in yards per carry, and San José State's defense ranks 81st in yards per carry allowed. San José State has no clear edge here. Its best is explosive play rate, 92nd, against a defense ranked 33rd in explosive plays allowed.
| New Mexico | San José State | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards / game | 150.3 (128th) | 234.1 (64th) |
| Rush yards / game | 208.8 (25th) | 138.8 (102nd) |
| Yards per play | 5.99 (83rd) | 6.06 (74th) |
| Yards per carry | 5.38 (54th) | 4.64 (108th) |
| Yards per attempt | 7.91 (57th) | 7.97 (53rd) |
| Completion % | 55.3% (111th) | 66.4% (47th) |
| Success rate | 40.6% (98th) | 40.2% (101st) |
| Explosive play rate | 12.2% (67th) | 11.4% (92nd) |
| 3rd down conversion | 39.0% (77th) | 33.3% (112th) |
| Sack rate (taken) | 10.9% (129th) | 7.1% (100th) |
| INT rate (thrown) | 3.5% (110th) | 2.5% (80th) |
| SUPLEX | 51.5% (102nd) | 52.6% (93rd) |
Per game and per play, from play-by-play.
New Mexico's defense is best placed to keep offenses behind schedule: it ranks 1st in success rate allowed, and San José State's offense is bottom-40 in success rate (101st). That's a mismatch. San José State's defense is best placed to get home: it ranks 20th in sack rate, and New Mexico's offense is bottom-20 at avoiding sacks (129th). That's a mismatch.
| New Mexico | San José State | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards allowed / game | 163.3 (12th) | 240.1 (108th) |
| Rush yards allowed / game | 103.0 (8th) | 159.1 (81st) |
| Yards per play allowed | 4.78 (11th) | 5.49 (53rd) |
| Yards per carry allowed | 3.94 (16th) | 5.01 (81st) |
| Yards per attempt allowed | 6.13 (29th) | 6.40 (38th) |
| Success rate allowed | 30.8% (1st) | 41.9% (68th) |
| Explosive plays allowed | 9.9% (33rd) | 10.5% (55th) |
| 3rd downs allowed | 32.0% (22nd) | 35.4% (46th) |
| Sack rate (generated) | 9.6% (10th) | 8.5% (20th) |
| INT rate (generated) | 8.1% (1st) | 2.7% (62nd) |
| SUPLEX allowed | 37.8% (2nd) | 51.7% (53rd) |
What opponents managed against them.
New Mexico has the better number in 12 of 12. The biggest gap is line yards allowed per carry, where New Mexico ranks 2nd and San José State 89th.
| New Mexico | San José State | |
|---|---|---|
| Big Uglies: offensive line | 49.8 (76th) | 48.2 (87th) |
| Big Uglies: defensive front | 75.7 (1st) | 50.2 (66th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.08 (64th) | 3.05 (69th) |
| Line yards allowed per carry | 1.76 (2nd) | 3.05 (89th) |
| Second-level yards per carry | 1.15 (54th) | 1.02 (94th) |
| Open-field yards per carry | 1.36 (50th) | 0.74 (119th) |
| Stuff rate (runs stopped at or behind the line) | 15.9% (37th) | 17.8% (72nd) |
| Stuff rate (defense) | 32.6% (1st) | 17.6% (86th) |
| Power success (short yardage) | 80.8% (23rd) | 70.4% (83rd) |
| Power success allowed | 50.0% (2nd) | 72.1% (79th) |
| Front-seven havoc allowed | 8.6% (53rd) | 9.5% (84th) |
| Front-seven havoc | 17.8% (2nd) | 9.6% (67th) |
The lines. Big Uglies is our rating for each offensive line and each defensive front: adjusted line yards (30%), stuff rate (20%), power success (15%), sack rate (20%) and front-seven havoc (15%), against every FBS team. 50 is average, and every 10 points is a standard deviation. Line stats from CollegeFootballData.com, garbage time out.
New Mexico is +2.6 in turnover margin a game and San José State is 0.0. At about five points a turnover, that's roughly a 13-point edge for New Mexico. Turnover margin rarely holds from one month to the next, so don't count on it.
| New Mexico | San José State | |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions thrown / game | 0.57 (40th) | 0.86 (84th) |
| Fumbles lost / game | 0.14 (3rd) | 0.29 (20th) |
| Giveaways / game | 0.71 (18th) | 1.14 (52nd) |
| Interceptions / game | 2.14 (1st) | 1.00 (22nd) |
| Fumbles recovered / game | 1.14 (2nd) | 0.14 (121st) |
| Takeaways / game | 3.29 (1st) | 1.14 (67th) |
| Turnover margin / game | +2.6 (1st) | 0.0 (67th) |
Per game, from play-by-play.
San José State has the more talented roster (110th in the 247Sports talent composite; New Mexico is 112th). But New Mexico plays further above its talent: +15.2 points of SP+ beyond what its roster predicts, to San José State's −5.4.
| New Mexico | San José State | |
|---|---|---|
| Talent composite | 568.2 (112th) | 569.3 (110th) |
| Blue-chip ratio | 3.0% (110th) | 6.0% (92nd) |
| Players on roster | 112 (58th) | 103 (119th) |
| Rated by 247Sports | 67 (106th) | 67 (106th) |
| 5-star players | 0 (37th) | 0 (37th) |
| 4-star players | 2 (106th) | 4 (88th) |
| 3-star players | 57 (86th) | 57 (86th) |
| Below 3-star | 8 (8th) | 6 (20th) |
| 2026 transfers in | 19 (84th) | 21 (67th) |
| Transfer share | 28.4% (73rd) | 31.3% (59th) |
| SP+ vs. talent | +15.2 (8th) | -5.4 (100th) |
| Returning production | 58.2% (44th) | 3.8% (128th) |
| Returning passing production | 74.0% (58th) | -7.6% (129th) |
| Returning rushing production | 71.4% (47th) | 35.5% (74th) |
| Returning receiving production | 43.2% (59th) | 2.7% (129th) |
| 2026 recruiting class (national rank) | 87 (87th) | 129 (129th) |
| Recruiting rank, last four classes | 152.5 (138th) | 115.5 (120th) |
247Sports team talent composite and 2026 transfer portal class. Star counts cover only the players 247Sports rates, not walk-ons, so they add up to less than the full roster. Ranks are out of all 138 FBS teams.
New Mexico is +2.5 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is schedule (+1.4). San José State is 0.0 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is schedule (+1.4).
| New Mexico | San José State | |
|---|---|---|
| RECEIPTS (total) | +2.5 (8th) | 0.0 (82nd) |
| Schedule RECEIPTS | +1.4 (18th) | +1.4 (22nd) |
| Roster RECEIPTS | -0.5 (102nd) | -0.9 (126th) |
| Coach RECEIPTS | +1.3 (18th) | -1.0 (108th) |
| Luck RECEIPTS | +0.2 (53rd) | +0.4 (42nd) |
Where the wins came from. Every team starts as a .500 team. Then each win (or loss) goes to the schedule, the roster, the coaching or luck, and the four add up to the real record. Wins above or below a .500 team.
The numbers pick New Mexico, 88% chance to win. All three ratings favor the same team. New Mexico's best matchup is its scoring defense, 1st in points allowed, against San José State's scoring offense at 117th.
Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM ET at CEFCU Stadium. It's on MW+.
SP+ projects New Mexico 27–9. That's from this season's SP+ offense, defense and special teams ratings, with home field worth 2.5 points.
DraftKings has New Mexico −14.5, total 42.5. The numbers pick winners, not bets.
San José State leads 16–5–1. Last meeting: San José State won 35–28 in 2025.
New Mexico: Toa Faavae (793 passing yards), Scottre Humphrey (450 rushing yards) and Cade Keith (265 receiving yards). San José State: Luke Weaver (1,632 passing yards), Jabari Bates (564 rushing yards) and Carson Clark (555 receiving yards). Season totals through Oct 24, 2026.
New Mexico's is Toa Faavae (793 passing yards this season); San José State's is Luke Weaver (1,632 passing yards this season).
San José State: Cooper Hoch (WR) hasn't played since Week 6.
Numbers through the games of Oct 24, 2026. SP+ as of Oct 27, 2026. Updated every week.
New Mexico and San José State: team pages with every stat and national rank. Compare any two teams.