College football, 2026 season
Stats and data viz for all 138 FBS teams and 3,000+ players. Find out who's good, who's lucky and who's paying for it. Then use box scores, advanced stats and anything else we could get our hands on to build charts that support your takes.
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Everything on this site starts with someone else's data, and we credit all of it. The projections, picks, rankings and tiers are our own math on top.
| Source | What we use | How often |
|---|---|---|
| CollegeFootballData.com, via the public cfbfastR files | Schedules, final scores, pregame Elo, play-by-play and box score stats, rosters | Usually posted Sunday or Monday morning after games |
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| 247Sports | Team talent composite, star counts, 2026 transfer portal rankings | Preseason |
| The NIL Standard | Estimated NIL roster values | Preseason |
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Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of the 138 FBS teams.
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Last updated October 26, 2026.
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Last updated October 30, 2026.
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College Football Charts is a college football stats site: a pick for every FBS game, head to heads across 75+ stats, the playoff picture, and charts you can bend to support any narrative (except Big 12 supremacy).
Every FBS team, player and game gets its own page, with national ranks, the ratings people argue about (SP+, PRIME and Elo) and charts you can share. The rivalry pages carry the series history. The tools let you build your own Top 25, your own 12-team playoff field and your own charts.
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Projected scores come from SP+ offense, defense and special teams, plus 2.5 points for the home team. Cards also show DraftKings' line and total as facts: we pick winners, not bets. Open Details for the full read, or Head to head for every stat.
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Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.
UAB at South Florida
Week 9, Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET, Raymond James Stadium.
The numbers say: South Florida, 77% to win.
| Kickoff | Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| TV | ESPNU |
| Where | Raymond James Stadium |
| Weather | 83°, cloudy, wind 8 mph |
| Line | South Florida −7.5, total 41.5 |
| Line movement | Opened South Florida −9.5; moved 2 points toward UAB. Total opened 46.5, down 5. |
| Series | South Florida leads 3–2 |
| Last meeting | South Florida 48–18 in 2025 |
| Margin | Win chance | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SP+ | South Florida by 15.1 | 86% | 50 |
| PRIME | South Florida by 4.8 | 63% | |
| Elo | South Florida | 83% | |
| The line | South Florida −7.5, opened −9.5 | 41.5, opened 46.5 |
Margins include home field. SP+ is Bill Connelly's rating; Sources has PRIME and Elo. Line and total from DraftKings, as of Fri, Oct 30, 7:43 PM ET.
The numbers say: South Florida. 77% chance to win
All three ratings favor South Florida, by 4.8 to 15.1 points. South Florida's best matchup is its defense, 22nd in EPA per play allowed, against UAB's offense at 122nd. UAB's way back in is its pass defense, 27th in EPA per pass allowed, against South Florida's passing game at 113th.
Each chart puts all 138 FBS teams on two stats; UAB and South Florida are lit. Dashed lines are the FBS averages, and up and right is better. Ranks in parentheses. Games through Oct 24, 2026.
The scatter charts show the top 40 FBS players at the position by both stats combined, plus the players lit here. Dashed lines are the averages; up and right is better. Ranks are among every FBS player at the position with enough snaps. Takeaways are interceptions plus fumble recoveries. Games through Oct 24, 2026.
On a neutral field, SP+ has South Florida 12.6 points better (63rd to 110th). PRIME also has South Florida ahead, by 2.3. Elo, which only sees results, also has South Florida ahead (46th to 91st).
| UAB | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ overall | -10.4 (110th) | 2.2 (63rd) |
| SP+ offense | 20.0 (109th) | 26.5 (72nd) |
| SP+ defense | 30.5 (103rd) | 24.5 (54th) |
| SP+ special teams | 0.1 (54th) | 0.1 (54th) |
| PRIME net | -6.7 (97th) | -4.4 (91st) |
| PRIME offense | -4.72 (102nd) | -6.45 (111th) |
| PRIME defense | -1.53 (84th) | 2.14 (51st) |
| PRIME SOS | -6.2 (102nd) | -8.5 (127th) |
| PRIME SOR | -0.5 (83rd) | 0.1 (65th) |
| Elo | 1396 (91st) | 1613 (46th) |
Opponent-adjusted power ratings. These drive the projection.
UAB's offense ranks 122nd in adjusted EPA per play, and the South Florida defense it faces ranks 22nd in EPA per play allowed. South Florida's offense ranks 115th against UAB's 50th-ranked defense. Both defenses have the edge on the offenses they face. The biggest edge on the board is South Florida's efficiency: 72nd in adjusted success rate, against UAB's 103rd-ranked defense. Adjust for opponents and South Florida's offense falls from 71st to 115th in EPA per play: a lot of that came against soft defenses.
| UAB | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play (adjusted) | +0.01 (122nd) | +0.04 (115th) |
| EPA per pass (adjusted) | +0.08 (128th) | +0.12 (113th) |
| EPA per rush (adjusted) | +0.04 (94th) | +0.03 (103rd) |
| Success rate (adjusted) | 40.2% (84th) | 41.4% (72nd) |
| Success rate, standard downs (adjusted) | 44.6% (108th) | 49.0% (38th) |
| Success rate, passing downs (adjusted) | 31.5% (48th) | 29.0% (102nd) |
| Explosiveness (adjusted) | 0.93 (78th) | 0.91 (111th) |
| Line yards per carry (adjusted) | 2.94 (78th) | 2.78 (121st) |
| Open-field yards per carry (adjusted) | 1.01 (106th) | 0.91 (126th) |
| EPA per play allowed (adjusted) | +0.07 (50th) | +0.04 (22nd) |
| EPA per pass allowed (adjusted) | +0.12 (27th) | +0.13 (34th) |
| EPA per rush allowed (adjusted) | +0.08 (79th) | −0.01 (16th) |
| Success rate allowed (adjusted) | 44.4% (103rd) | 42.3% (77th) |
| Explosiveness allowed (adjusted) | 0.93 (63rd) | 0.87 (1st) |
| Line yards allowed per carry (adjusted) | 3.16 (121st) | 2.92 (57th) |
| Open-field yards allowed per carry (adjusted) | 0.98 (28th) | 1.11 (61st) |
The same efficiency numbers, adjusted for the offenses and defenses each team has faced (CollegeFootballData.com). A good number against a soft schedule shrinks; one against a hard schedule grows.
UAB is better running (66th in EPA per rush) than throwing (130th). South Florida's run defense ranks 21st, so the defense has the better of it. South Florida is better running (58th in EPA per rush) than throwing (87th). UAB's run defense ranks 77th.
| UAB | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.03 (112th) | +0.13 (71st) |
| EPA per pass | −0.04 (130th) | +0.17 (87th) |
| EPA per rush | +0.10 (66th) | +0.12 (58th) |
| EPA per 3rd-down play | +0.32 (102nd) | +0.39 (90th) |
| EPA per play allowed | +0.04 (43rd) | +0.01 (29th) |
| EPA per pass allowed | +0.06 (31st) | +0.11 (46th) |
| EPA per rush allowed | +0.08 (77th) | −0.06 (21st) |
| EPA per 3rd-down play allowed | +0.39 (67th) | +0.37 (57th) |
Expected points added per play, from CollegeFootballData.com. EPA measures how much each play changes the points a team can expect from the drive. Zero is break-even; +0.20 is very good. Not adjusted for opponents.
UAB is outscored by 1.3 a game, and South Florida by 11.5. UAB's offense ranks 103rd in scoring, and the South Florida defense it faces ranks 10th in points allowed. South Florida's offense ranks 83rd against UAB's 73rd-ranked defense. Neither side of the ball has a clear edge.
| UAB | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored | 23.3 (103rd) | 26.6 (83rd) |
| Points allowed | 24.6 (73rd) | 15.1 (10th) |
Per game, FBS opponents only.
UAB's best matchup is third downs: its offense ranks 35th in 3rd down conversion rate, and South Florida's defense ranks 74th in 3rd down conversions allowed.
| UAB | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards / game | 171.3 (122nd) | — () |
| Rush yards / game | 187.4 (45th) | — () |
| Yards per play | 5.85 (92nd) | — () |
| Yards per carry | 4.90 (86th) | — () |
| Yards per attempt | 8.44 (39th) | — () |
| Completion % | 64.8% (62nd) | — () |
| Success rate | 45.2% (57th) | — () |
| Explosive play rate | 10.5% (110th) | — () |
| 3rd down conversion | 45.4% (35th) | — () |
| Sack rate (taken) | 11.8% (130th) | — () |
| INT rate (thrown) | 3.5% (111th) | — () |
| SUPLEX | 55.1% (78th) | — () |
Per game and per play, from play-by-play.
South Florida's defense is best placed to get home: it ranks 62nd in sack rate, and UAB's offense is bottom-20 at avoiding sacks (130th). That's a mismatch.
| UAB | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards allowed / game | 128.9 (2nd) | 187.0 (31st) |
| Rush yards allowed / game | 199.7 (123rd) | 156.1 (77th) |
| Yards per play allowed | 4.94 (15th) | 5.48 (52nd) |
| Yards per carry allowed | 5.05 (84th) | 4.59 (51st) |
| Yards per attempt allowed | 5.13 (3rd) | 7.00 (66th) |
| Success rate allowed | 40.6% (57th) | 42.5% (74th) |
| Explosive plays allowed | 8.8% (14th) | 10.3% (50th) |
| 3rd downs allowed | 36.7% (53rd) | 39.0% (74th) |
| Sack rate (generated) | 6.9% (50th) | 6.5% (62nd) |
| INT rate (generated) | 2.8% (59th) | 1.1% (123rd) |
| SUPLEX allowed | 50.6% (44th) | 52.3% (55th) |
What opponents managed against them.
South Florida has the better number in 6 of 10. The biggest gap is stuff rate (defense), where South Florida ranks 21st and UAB 128th.
| UAB | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| Big Uglies: offensive line | 45.2 (107th) | 43.7 (116th) |
| Big Uglies: defensive front | 45.0 (96th) | 54.6 (32nd) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.13 (50th) | 2.85 (101st) |
| Line yards allowed per carry | 3.38 (129th) | 2.72 (39th) |
| Second-level yards per carry | 1.00 (96th) | 1.14 (59th) |
| Open-field yards per carry | 0.91 (102nd) | 0.83 (109th) |
| Stuff rate (runs stopped at or behind the line) | 16.4% (49th) | 21.3% (111th) |
| Stuff rate (defense) | 13.4% (128th) | 22.8% (21st) |
| Power success (short yardage) | 73.5% (61st) | 73.5% (61st) |
| Power success allowed | 69.2% (58th) | 69.2% (58th) |
| Front-seven havoc allowed | 11.6% (123rd) | 9.5% (84th) |
| Front-seven havoc | 10.4% (49th) | 12.4% (17th) |
The lines. Big Uglies is our rating for each offensive line and each defensive front: adjusted line yards (30%), stuff rate (20%), power success (15%), sack rate (20%) and front-seven havoc (15%), against every FBS team. 50 is average, and every 10 points is a standard deviation. Line stats from CollegeFootballData.com, garbage time out.
| UAB | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions thrown / game | 0.71 (61st) | — () |
| Fumbles lost / game | 0.71 (99th) | — () |
| Giveaways / game | 1.43 (88th) | — () |
| Interceptions / game | 0.71 (66th) | 0.29 (119th) |
| Fumbles recovered / game | 0.71 (24th) | 0.00 (131st) |
| Takeaways / game | 1.43 (41st) | 0.29 (137th) |
| Turnover margin / game | 0.0 (67th) | — () |
Per game, from play-by-play.
South Florida has the more talented roster (52nd in the 247Sports talent composite; UAB is 92nd). South Florida also plays further above its talent: −0.4 points of SP+ beyond what its roster predicts, to UAB's −6.9.
| UAB | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| Talent composite | 606.2 (92nd) | 703.8 (52nd) |
| Blue-chip ratio | 6.0% (92nd) | 12.9% (57th) |
| Players on roster | 106 (99th) | 113 (51st) |
| Rated by 247Sports | 67 (106th) | 93 (14th) |
| 5-star players | 0 (37th) | 1 (24th) |
| 4-star players | 4 (88th) | 11 (53rd) |
| 3-star players | 57 (86th) | 77 (10th) |
| Below 3-star | 6 (20th) | 4 (38th) |
| 2026 transfers in | 39 (14th) | 44 (6th) |
| Transfer share | 58.2% (13th) | 47.3% (22nd) |
| SP+ vs. talent | -6.9 (110th) | -0.4 (66th) |
| Returning production | 79.6% (13th) | 12.6% (117th) |
| Returning passing production | 100.0% (11th) | 5.8% (91st) |
| Returning rushing production | 63.3% (53rd) | -0.7% (118th) |
| Returning receiving production | 73.5% (16th) | 23.8% (96th) |
| 2026 recruiting class (national rank) | 135 (133rd) | 90 (90th) |
| Recruiting rank, last four classes | 112.5 (116th) | 70.2 (71st) |
247Sports team talent composite and 2026 transfer portal class. Star counts cover only the players 247Sports rates, not walk-ons, so they add up to less than the full roster. Ranks are out of all 138 FBS teams.
UAB is +0.5 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is coaching (−1.1). South Florida is +1.5 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is schedule (+1.7). UAB's record is running 1.1 wins ahead of its play on luck alone, so it's not as good as the record says.
| UAB | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| RECEIPTS (total) | +0.5 (57th) | +1.5 (30th) |
| Schedule RECEIPTS | +0.8 (53rd) | +1.7 (13th) |
| Roster RECEIPTS | -0.2 (84th) | +0.2 (60th) |
| Coach RECEIPTS | -1.1 (115th) | +0.0 (65th) |
| Luck RECEIPTS | +1.1 (9th) | -0.3 (90th) |
Where the wins came from. Every team starts as a .500 team. Then each win (or loss) goes to the schedule, the roster, the coaching or luck, and the four add up to the real record. Wins above or below a .500 team.
The numbers pick South Florida, 77% chance to win. All three ratings favor the same team. South Florida's best matchup is its defense, 22nd in EPA per play allowed, against UAB's offense at 122nd.
Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET at Raymond James Stadium. It's on ESPNU.
SP+ projects South Florida 32–17. That's from this season's SP+ offense, defense and special teams ratings, with home field worth 2.5 points.
DraftKings has South Florida −7.5, total 41.5. The numbers pick winners, not bets.
South Florida leads 3–2. Last meeting: South Florida won 48–18 in 2025.
UAB: Ryder Burton (1,169 passing yards), Roderick Robinson II (436 rushing yards) and C.J. Smith (350 receiving yards). South Florida: D.J. Crowther (513 rushing yards). Season totals through Oct 24, 2026.
Numbers through the games of Oct 24, 2026. SP+ as of Oct 27, 2026. Updated every week.
UAB and South Florida: team pages with every stat and national rank. Compare any two teams.